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2022-03-03 10:10
大家好，我是李夢龍。
這幾天的新聞頭條都是被俄烏戰爭占據了。整個世界都在討論這場戰爭。
今天我們來解讀一下俄烏戰爭對Etsy賣家們的影響。
圖片來源：百度熱搜
1.0 賣家減少，競爭減少
我查了一下這兩個這國家在etsy上開店的賣家數量:
Russia: 46,951 shops ,整個ETSY賣家數量排名第八
Ukraine： 34,021 shops，整個ETSY賣家數量排名第十二
由于戰爭的影響，烏克蘭賣家基本上沒有辦法發出貨來了。
同時，由于俄羅斯對36國實施航空禁令，基本上沒有飛機飛進飛出俄羅斯。
所以俄羅斯想要發出貨出來也比較困難，而且郵費肯定也是爆漲的。
價格也沒有任何優勢。
所以，這次俄烏戰爭,ETSY上將減少8萬個賣家。
烏克蘭排名前的10的賣家大部分休業了、、、
賣家減少，競爭減少！！！
烏克蘭排名第三的店鋪，已經休業了。。。
圖片來源：etsy
烏克蘭排名第四的婚紗店鋪，已經休業了。。。
圖片來源：etsy
烏克蘭排名第六的店鋪，已經休業了。。。
圖片來源：etsy
烏克蘭排名第七的店鋪，已經休業了。。。
圖片來源：etsy
烏克蘭排名第九的店鋪，已經休業了。。。
圖片來源：etsy
2.0 受益的分類是Craft Supplies & Tools
我對俄羅斯銷售前300名的店鋪進行了統計，發現有166家是從事Craft Supplies & Tools銷售的。
45家是從事Art & Collectibles銷售，23家是是從事Toys & Games銷售。
1 |
PamPinostore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
4,834 |
|
2 |
HappyDollsHandMade |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
4,613 |
|
5 |
DigitalHobbyHelper |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
2,420 |
|
6 |
NinoEmbroidery |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,907 |
|
8 |
OliArtStudioShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,637 |
|
11 |
Patternsbarbiedoll |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,552 |
|
13 |
FamilyDesignCrafts |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,449 |
|
14 |
JoyfulUnicorn |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,391 |
|
17 |
AlsmaArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,283 |
|
18 |
EBookCraftPattern |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,282 |
|
19 |
OldSaltArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
1,193 |
|
25 |
CuteBroidery |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
937 |
|
26 |
VikisewsPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
921 |
|
30 |
KarlovaDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
879 |
|
31 |
AmigurumiByAna |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
874 |
|
32 |
AnimalsCrossStitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
845 |
|
35 |
MagicArtLab |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
738 |
|
38 |
CuteDreamToysDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
715 |
|
39 |
SweetieGraphics |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
714 |
|
41 |
soapcityru |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
692 |
|
42 |
OGCraftsDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
686 |
|
43 |
VineraEyerPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
673 |
|
45 |
StitchingLand |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
656 |
|
47 |
ShopStrawAnimals |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
641 |
|
50 |
NansyOops |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
607 |
|
51 |
ToysByKnitFriends |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
601 |
|
52 |
VecherniePosidelki |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
595 |
|
53 |
StarlingSVG |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
589 |
|
54 |
CrochetFriendsLab |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
585 |
|
55 |
atAntiqueStitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
572 |
|
58 |
OlegiraBeadPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
552 |
|
59 |
Fionadolls |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
542 |
|
60 |
MagicStitchStudio |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
540 |
|
63 |
ManiaHobby |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
536 |
|
64 |
PatternsTime |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
530 |
|
65 |
SignReadyDClipart |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
528 |
|
66 |
MariaArtCreative |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
526 |
|
69 |
MiniDigitalHouse |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
506 |
|
71 |
MyCroWonders |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
501 |
|
72 |
CrossStitchingForFun |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
500 |
|
75 |
StitchesThroughYears |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
497 |
|
78 |
KruToysAndPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
479 |
|
79 |
LaserBun |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
452 |
|
81 |
Bobriktoys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
444 |
|
82 |
EmbroideryDesignsEM |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
438 |
|
85 |
TheFlyingStitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
433 |
|
87 |
TotaKsushaDolls |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
432 |
|
88 |
JuliSVGPrint |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
428 |
|
89 |
HEATLOOPS |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
428 |
|
90 |
NataPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
425 |
|
91 |
MyLovelyCrossStitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
424 |
|
92 |
MariannaProps |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
423 |
|
93 |
WowBagShopDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
419 |
|
96 |
MisterCutter |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
409 |
|
97 |
AnnaBronze |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
407 |
|
98 |
KatKnitToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
403 |
|
99 |
ZenknitRU |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
403 |
|
100 |
SoftMuseArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
396 |
|
103 |
CrochetClubStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
392 |
|
105 |
BeengBong |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
390 |
|
106 |
Moldforyou |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
390 |
|
107 |
JoyDigitalDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
389 |
|
108 |
MagiCraftByJulia |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
387 |
|
109 |
Protuberanec |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
387 |
|
110 |
AlesyaPytskayaArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
386 |
|
113 |
KKGraphicDesignCo |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
385 |
|
114 |
LunesDesigns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
382 |
|
115 |
KnittedToyZoo |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
382 |
|
116 |
LinenFabricsByAnna |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
381 |
|
119 |
ByOlgaBoo |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
368 |
|
120 |
Start2Stitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
365 |
|
122 |
METALCLAYSTUDIO |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
363 |
|
123 |
DecorateRU |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
360 |
|
124 |
EvgeniaPainting |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
360 |
|
125 |
NaturacrochetShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
358 |
|
127 |
KaleArtShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
352 |
|
128 |
BabUnicorn |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
347 |
|
129 |
LovelyKnitCreation |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
347 |
|
131 |
CrochetToysBunnyCo |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
346 |
|
132 |
TillySome |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
346 |
|
134 |
RussianCraftsmen |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
341 |
|
136 |
LunarFoxStitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
334 |
|
137 |
AmiAmor6 |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
334 |
|
138 |
AlinetToysAndDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
333 |
|
141 |
WoolenPaw |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
326 |
|
142 |
CrochetPatternByLily |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
323 |
|
144 |
KotoCrochetToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
316 |
|
145 |
WonderStudioByYulia |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
314 |
|
147 |
MoldsbyMedochi |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
311 |
|
148 |
PatykovaPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
310 |
|
149 |
MisterSeibel |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
310 |
|
150 |
MarinadeArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
309 |
|
152 |
VectorMarketArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
308 |
|
154 |
cupofneedles |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
308 |
|
155 |
GoDrawStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
305 |
|
157 |
CrochetWondersDesign |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
304 |
|
159 |
HappyClayStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
302 |
|
160 |
MoldsDecorFurniture |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
301 |
|
161 |
PinetkiShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
299 |
|
162 |
KnitByMarynik |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
299 |
|
163 |
AlphabetStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
297 |
|
166 |
CoolBabyLoves |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
293 |
|
169 |
EnjoytoysDesigns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
282 |
|
170 |
KatushkaMorozova |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
280 |
|
174 |
LesFrolovaShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
279 |
|
175 |
IstarArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
279 |
|
178 |
GromakEmbroidery |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
275 |
|
180 |
ByKnitToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
272 |
|
181 |
HappyCrochetPattern |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
272 |
|
182 |
RowanEMB |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
270 |
|
183 |
JoineryCrafts |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
269 |
|
185 |
UnderwaterTreasureRU |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
265 |
|
186 |
RaulaToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
264 |
|
187 |
QllArtStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
264 |
|
188 |
DoosseEmbroidery |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
263 |
|
189 |
MiniKnittedToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
263 |
|
190 |
KarmanDolls |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
263 |
|
193 |
AyaLormus |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
261 |
|
196 |
WatercolorGardensArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
254 |
|
198 |
HandcraftIsland |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
251 |
|
199 |
GigiPrintArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
248 |
|
201 |
MyCrochetFriends |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
244 |
|
206 |
ElephantQuietBook |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
241 |
|
207 |
mimiKNITTING |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
235 |
|
208 |
CutePicturesStudio |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
234 |
|
211 |
DigitalStoreByMadi |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
232 |
|
212 |
LinaOvaCrossStitch |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
231 |
|
213 |
HKCraftsStudio |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
231 |
|
215 |
FETROVNA |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
230 |
|
218 |
GalaToysShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
227 |
|
221 |
Punochka |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
226 |
|
222 |
KnittLife |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
225 |
|
224 |
SheincarArts |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
223 |
|
225 |
MintEmbroideryShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
223 |
|
228 |
VINGERT |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
223 |
|
231 |
LaceAtelierStudio |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
222 |
|
232 |
ElenaAccessoriesArt |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
222 |
|
233 |
KirillsWorkshop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
221 |
|
234 |
LudatoysPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
220 |
|
236 |
CuteToysVladimir |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
220 |
|
237 |
GlassNatalyaDarlin |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
218 |
|
242 |
CrochetCuteAnimals |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
213 |
|
244 |
vetlanka |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
210 |
|
245 |
LovelyFont |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
210 |
|
250 |
HandDrawnOwl |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
205 |
|
253 |
BirochkaEmb |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
204 |
|
258 |
KnitToyPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
199 |
|
262 |
GentleFeather |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
197 |
|
263 |
AmigurumiStuffedToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
196 |
|
264 |
ZaykaMiAmigurumi |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
195 |
|
265 |
NatiAStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
195 |
|
267 |
TatiDollShop |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
194 |
|
269 |
ZiminaDoll |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
194 |
|
270 |
FeltPatternPDF |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
194 |
|
272 |
Nataliyaknitting |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
193 |
|
273 |
PollytoysPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
192 |
|
274 |
MikadoCutes |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
191 |
|
277 |
ARTuCo |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
189 |
|
278 |
FavoritePlushToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
188 |
|
281 |
funnyhook |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
184 |
|
286 |
ArtLoveIllustration |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
182 |
|
287 |
VictoriaCrocheting |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
181 |
|
288 |
HoneyjarStore |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
181 |
|
291 |
SejongStudio |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
178 |
|
293 |
TuttiFruttiPatterns |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
176 |
|
298 |
VishnevayaToys |
Craft Supplies & Tools |
174 |
同時，
我對烏克蘭銷售前300名的店鋪進行了統計，發現89家是從事Craft Supplies & Tools銷售的。
發現27家是從事Home & Living銷售的。
所以得出來，從事Craft Supplies & Tools分類的賣家會明顯感覺到，競爭減小，流量上升，訂單上升。
3.0 成人用品與針鉤市場有缺口
為了進一步了解市場的缺口，我認真的去翻看了一下烏克蘭與俄羅斯的前20名大賣家
我發現了俄羅斯主攻的是針鉤市場產品市場，而烏克蘭是成人用品
像下面這家，烏克蘭國家排第12位的店鋪也是休業了。
所以，這個需求就會轉到別的國家的賣家身上。大家有做這些個市場應該的可以明顯感覺到了。
而且烏克蘭這個XX業務全球有名氣的。
4.0 注意郵費上漲
受俄烏戰爭影響，全球石油供應，油價正在攀升。
國際基準布倫特原油價格22日達到每桶97.76美元（折合人民幣619.7886元）的七年高點。
這個價格肯定會反應到小包價格上來的。
所以，大家定價的時候記得把這個預期價格加上去。
圖片來源：百度搜索截圖
5.0 烏克蘭訂單停發
如果你遇上有烏克蘭的訂單，我建議你暫時不要發出。也不要取消，寫信告訴他們。
這個貨等戰爭停止才發出。不然發出去他們也會收不到的。
總結：
最后，希望世界和平與穩定
（來源：夢龍的筆記）
以上內容屬作者個人觀點，不代表雨果跨境立場！本文經原作者授權轉載，轉載需經原作者授權同意。?
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